| 查看: 319 | 回复: 3 | |||
| 当前主题已经存档。 | |||
[交流]
【求助】谁能帮我下到这篇文章 ，并麻烦分析一下。或者帮忙翻译一下摘要。
|
|||
|
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L17305, doi:10.1029/2008GL034903, 2008 12 May 2008 M = 7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems Shinji Toda Active Fault Research Center, Geological Survey of Japan, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan Jian Lin Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA Mustapha Meghraoui Institut de Physique du Globe de Strasbourg, EOST, Strasbourg, France Ross S. Stein U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, USA Abstract The Wenchuan earthquake on the Longmen Shan fault zone devastated cities of Sichuan, claiming at least 69,000 lives. We calculate that the earthquake also brought the Xianshuihe, Kunlun and Min Jiang faults 150–400 km from the mainshock rupture in the eastern Tibetan Plateau 0.2–0.5 bars closer to Coulomb failure. Because some portions of these stressed faults have not ruptured in more than a century, the earthquake could trigger or hasten additional M > 7 earthquakes, potentially subjecting regions from Kangding to Daofu and Maqin to Rangtag to strong shaking. We use the calculated stress changes and the observed background seismicity to forecast the rate and distribution of damaging shocks. The earthquake probability in the region is estimated to be 57–71% for M ≥ 6 shocks during the next decade, and 8–12% for M ≥ 7 shocks. These are up to twice the probabilities for the decade before the Wenchuan earthquake struck. Received 5 June 2008; accepted 23 July 2008; published 9 September 2008. Keywords: Coulomb stress; earthquake probability; stress transfer. Index Terms: 7223 Seismology: Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242); 7230 Seismology: Seismicity and tectonics (1207, 1217, 1240, 1242); 7221 Seismology: Paleoseismology (8036); 7200 Seismology. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Read Full Article (file size: 1214984 bytes) Cited by [ Last edited by 极度灵感 on 2008-11-26 at 13:29 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
澳门大学2025年全奖博士机会：智能无人自主系统及自动控制方向
已经有5人回复
-
SCIENCE ADVANCE投稿状态咨询
已经有5人回复
-
地质学论文润色/翻译怎么收费?
已经有143人回复
-
德国图宾根大学地球化学反应输运模拟岗位制博士职位
已经有0人回复
-
求助裂变径迹
已经有0人回复
-
澳门大学机器人与自主系统硕士项目
已经有2人回复
-
南京大学能源与资源学院马朝阳课题组 博士后招聘
已经有30人回复
-
调剂 西南科技大学 环资学院
已经有4人回复
2楼2008-09-13 21:30:59
3楼2008-09-13 21:44:44
Geochimica
木虫 (正式写手)
- 应助: 1 (幼儿园)
- 贵宾: 0.02
- 金币: 1745
- 散金: 42
- 红花: 1
- 帖子: 361
- 在线: 20.2小时
- 虫号: 440723
- 注册: 2007-10-27
- 性别: GG
- 专业: 生物地球化学
4楼2008-09-13 21:54:35