| 查看: 359 | 回复: 3 | |||
| 当前主题已经存档。 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【求助】谁能帮我下到这篇文章 ，并麻烦分析一下。或者帮忙翻译一下摘要。
|
|||
|
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L17305, doi:10.1029/2008GL034903, 2008 12 May 2008 M = 7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems Shinji Toda Active Fault Research Center, Geological Survey of Japan, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan Jian Lin Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA Mustapha Meghraoui Institut de Physique du Globe de Strasbourg, EOST, Strasbourg, France Ross S. Stein U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, USA Abstract The Wenchuan earthquake on the Longmen Shan fault zone devastated cities of Sichuan, claiming at least 69,000 lives. We calculate that the earthquake also brought the Xianshuihe, Kunlun and Min Jiang faults 150–400 km from the mainshock rupture in the eastern Tibetan Plateau 0.2–0.5 bars closer to Coulomb failure. Because some portions of these stressed faults have not ruptured in more than a century, the earthquake could trigger or hasten additional M > 7 earthquakes, potentially subjecting regions from Kangding to Daofu and Maqin to Rangtag to strong shaking. We use the calculated stress changes and the observed background seismicity to forecast the rate and distribution of damaging shocks. The earthquake probability in the region is estimated to be 57–71% for M ≥ 6 shocks during the next decade, and 8–12% for M ≥ 7 shocks. These are up to twice the probabilities for the decade before the Wenchuan earthquake struck. Received 5 June 2008; accepted 23 July 2008; published 9 September 2008. Keywords: Coulomb stress; earthquake probability; stress transfer. Index Terms: 7223 Seismology: Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242); 7230 Seismology: Seismicity and tectonics (1207, 1217, 1240, 1242); 7221 Seismology: Paleoseismology (8036); 7200 Seismology. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Read Full Article (file size: 1214984 bytes) Cited by [ Last edited by 极度灵感 on 2008-11-26 at 13:29 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
长江大学石油工程学院有调剂名额
已经有0人回复
-
地区已中，感谢虫友们！
已经有109人回复
-
地球化学论文润色/翻译怎么收费?
已经有197人回复
-
【招聘】科研助理+五险一金
已经有20人回复
-
355 B区地质调剂
已经有1人回复
-
解锁青少年负责任决策的关键：基于PISA 2022全球数据的SEL维度研究成果发表
已经有1人回复
-
招聘博士研究生
已经有45人回复
3楼2008-09-13 21:44:44
2楼2008-09-13 21:30:59
