| 查看: 2381 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
化学专业申博
已经有4人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
评审有感
已经有27人回复
-
论文撤稿了
已经有7人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有4人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有5人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有4人回复
-
河北省自然科学基金
已经有9人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
广西锰资源高值化利用重点实验室 2026年博士人才招聘通告
+1/970
-
祝大家学业有成，工作顺利，生意兴隆
+1/950
-
12年，离婚了。
+1/283
-
坐标深圳，愿遇良缘
+1/213
-
诚邀津门师者共研
+1/80
-
真诚才是必杀技
+1/80
-
空军军医大学第一附属医院药学部科研助理招聘
+1/76
-
替投稿20天的论文祈福
+1/71
-
河南省医学科学院王宁利院士科研团队2026年博士、博后、硕士招聘
+1/37
-
海南医科大学肖华教授(国家级青年人才)招收博士生1名---报名从速
+4/32
-
紧急招收2026年秋季入学博士生1名（湘潭大学 固体废弃物低碳利用湖南省工程研究中心）
+1/13
-
哪位大神能使用lammps软件的reaxff力场计算煤和塑料热解的分子动力学，有偿
+1/11
-
化学化工学院招聘博士2人-黔南民族师范学院
+2/10
-
上海理工大学-赵斌教授课题组招收申请考核制博士【新能源材料】
+1/9
-
英国伯明翰大学工程学院招收国际全奖博士生（closing soon请尽快联系）
+1/5
-
2026年中国石油大学（北京）理学院招博士1名-地质、分子模拟（急急急到5月25日）
+1/4
-
首都医科大学药学院2026年申请考核制博士研究生招生/有机化学/药物化学 三年学制
+1/2
-
湖南师范大学化学化工学院-熊二虎教授课题组招收2026级“申请考核”制博士研究生1名
+1/2
-
博士去绵阳华丰科技怎么样，待遇如何，这个企业靠谱吗？
+3/1
-
紧急招收2026年秋季入学博士生1名（河北工大/北京科技大学联合 增材制造/生物材料）
+1/1
20楼2011-03-30 15:11:12
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
