| 查看: 2318 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
289求调剂
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿 南京航空航天大学大学 ，080500材料科学与工程学硕
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿西安交通大学 学硕 354求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
317求调剂
已经有11人回复
-
287求调剂
已经有6人回复
-
一志愿南昌大学，327分，材料与化工085600
已经有7人回复
-
材料080500调剂求收留
已经有8人回复
-
353求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
北科281学硕材料求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
A区线材料学调剂
已经有3人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
福建师范大学叶应祥课题组招收2026级博士研究生
+2/166
-
深圳技术大学集成电路与光电芯片学院郝俊杰课题组诚聘博士后、研究助理、访问学生
+2/116
-
南京医科大学生殖医学与子代健康国重实验室-董飞宏课题组-学术硕士招生
+1/95
-
化学化工学院 招收化工、化学、材料等相关方向研究生（学硕、专硕都有调剂名额）
+1/85
-
福建农林大学材料工程学院高分子材料课题组招生
+1/84
-
双一流南京医科大学招计算机、AI、统计、生物信息等方向26年9月入学博士
+1/83
-
青岛高校 研究生招生
+1/49
-
光学工程学硕调剂信息
+2/42
-
吲哚美辛原料药合成交流
+1/36
-
湘潭大学“过程强化与绿色化工”创新团队补招2026年秋入学博士生
+1/35
-
福建师范大学闽江学者陈巍教授团队招收2026年化学、化工或材料专业的学硕6名
+1/35
-
湖南大学微生物结构与功能实验室2026年计划招收博士研究生
+1/19
-
【深圳理工大学】院士工作站招聘博士后-电催化和有机电化学
+1/16
-
重庆文理学院化学与环境工程学院 2026 届硕士研究生调剂通知
+1/14
-
【2026博士招生/博后招聘】北京航空航天大学潘彪课题组——AI芯片设计方向
+1/11
-
5han一本强校招收材料专业硕士
+1/9
-
江西赣州-赣南师范大学-学校推荐
+1/8
-
教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划”入选团队招收 材料，化学与化工博士研究生
+1/7
-
青岛科技大学可持续高分子团队 考研招生
+1/6
-
武汉轻工大学土木水利青椒硕导招调剂
+1/1
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
11楼2011-03-30 11:53:54
