Znn3bq.jpeg
±±¾©Ê¯ÓÍ»¯¹¤Ñ§Ôº2026ÄêÑо¿ÉúÕÐÉú½ÓÊÕµ÷¼Á¹«¸æ
²é¿´: 2061  |  »Ø¸´: 9

¸Âàààà

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

[ÇóÖú] 1stopt·Ö¶Îº¯Êý¹²ÏíģʽÄâºÏÔõôʵÏÖ£¿ÄÄλ´óÉñ°ï°ïæÍÛ%>_<% ÒÑÓÐ1È˲ÎÓë

ÎÒÏëʵÏÖ¹²ÏíģʽÄâºÏ£¬ÄâºÏº¯ÊýÊǷֶκ¯Êý£¬´úÂëÈçÏ£¬1stÌáʾ´íÎ󣬸ÃÔõô¸Ä°¡£¿
Parameter p1=[0,1],p2=[0,1],p3=[0,1],q1=[0,1],q2=[0,1],q3=[0,1],m1=[200,2000],m2=[200,2000],m3=[200,2000];
SharedModel;
Variable t,s1,s2,s3;
ConstStr f1=(1-exp(-(p1+q1)*t))/(1+(q1/p1)*exp(-(p1+q1)*t));f2=(1-exp(-(p2+q2)*(t-4)))/(1+(q2/p2)*exp(-(p2+q2)*(t-4)));f3=(1-exp(-(p3+q3)*(t-21)))/(1+(q3/p3)*exp(-(p3+q3)*(t-21)));
Function s1=if(t<=4,f1*m1,f1*m1*(1-f2));
Function s2=if(t<=4,0,if((t>4)and(t<=21),f2*(m2+f1*m1),f2*(m2+f1*m1)*(1-f3)));
Function s3=if(t<=21,0,f3*(m3+f2*(m2+f1*m1)));
Data;
1        20.8487         0               0
2        24.5239                0               0
3        28.8619         0                0
4        31.6105         3.7248           0
5        33.4164         5.8649          0
6        36.2999         8.5974          0
7        40.0655         13.262          0
8        44.9096         20.0698          0
9        49.2761         26.6406          0
10        53.4604         32.5423          0
11        58.0675         38.3975         0
12        61.6982         44.3234         0
13        65.3678         49.8503         0
14        68.7345         55.8777         0
15        72.2173         61.2881         0
16        75.0802         65.9367         0
17        77.7631         71.058           0
18        80.0713         74.9772         0
19        82.7039         79.4515         0
20        84.5582         84.7288         0
21        85.5965         91.0312         2.6856
22        86.5076         96.3746         8.046
23        87.1629         101.6473        13.2341
24        88.2711         106.0359        18.37
25        89.1458         109.7173        23.9631
Ìáʾ´íÎóÈçͼ

1stopt·Ö¶Îº¯Êý¹²ÏíģʽÄâºÏÔõôʵÏÖ£¿ÄÄλ´óÉñ°ï°ïæÍÛ%>_<%
1.png
»Ø¸´´ËÂ¥
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

dingd

Ìú¸Ëľ³æ (Ö°Òµ×÷¼Ò)

¡¾´ð°¸¡¿Ó¦Öú»ØÌû

¸Ðл²ÎÓ룬ӦÖúÖ¸Êý +1
ÓõÄÄĸö°æ±¾£¿µÍ°æ±¾¹À¼ÆÓÐÎÊÌâ°É
2Â¥2015-04-21 16:22:12
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

dingd

Ìú¸Ëľ³æ (Ö°Òµ×÷¼Ò)

¡¾´ð°¸¡¿Ó¦Öú»ØÌû

Root of Mean Square Error (RMSE):2.60117004744817
Sum of Square Error:507.456421180612
Correlation Coef. (R): 0.994238480761602
R-Square: 0.988510156627139
Determination Coef. (DC): 0.983664484562675
F-Statistic: 57.8021804603133

Parameter                  Best Estimate
--------------------        -------------
p1        0.0362000101964279
p2        0.0134735826950473
p3        0.0102873637928838
q1        1.78439163643402E-20
q2        2.06622404467458E-16
q3        1.06558757880781E-14
m1        200
m2        345.594129578441
m3        500.639111493919
3Â¥2015-04-21 16:26:04
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

¸Âàààà

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
2Â¥: Originally posted by dingd at 2015-04-21 16:22:12
ÓõÄÄĸö°æ±¾£¿µÍ°æ±¾¹À¼ÆÓÐÎÊÌâ°É

ÓõÄÊÇ1.5×¢²á°æµÄ£¬ÔÚÍøÉÏÏÂÔØµÄ
4Â¥2015-04-22 16:35:24
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

¸Âàààà

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
3Â¥: Originally posted by dingd at 2015-04-21 16:26:04
Root of Mean Square Error (RMSE):2.60117004744817
Sum of Square Error:507.456421180612
Correlation Coef. (R): 0.994238480761602
R-Square: 0.988510156627139
Determination Coef. (DC): 0.98366448456 ...

Âé·³ÎÊÒ»ÏÂÊÇÔõôÐ޸ĵģ¿ÒòΪÎÒÒ²ÓÐÆäËû¹ØÓÚÕâ¸ö¼ÆËãµÄ
5Â¥2015-04-22 16:36:25
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

¸Âàààà

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
2Â¥: Originally posted by dingd at 2015-04-21 16:22:12
ÓõÄÄĸö°æ±¾£¿µÍ°æ±¾¹À¼ÆÓÐÎÊÌâ°É

ÇëÎÊÄܸøÎÒ·¢Ò»ÏÂÈí¼þô£¬²»Ê¤¸Ð¼¤(*@¦Ï@*) ÍÛ¡«
6Â¥2015-04-22 16:49:55
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

dingd

Ìú¸Ëľ³æ (Ö°Òµ×÷¼Ò)

¡¾´ð°¸¡¿Ó¦Öú»ØÌû

¡ï ¡ï ¡ï ¡ï ¡ï
¸Âàààà: ½ð±Ò+5, ¡ï¡ï¡ï¡ï¡ï×î¼Ñ´ð°¸, ллÍÛ 2015-04-22 18:04:08
ÄǸö°æ±¾¾Í±ðÊÔÁË£¬ÎÞ·¨ÔËÐмÆËãÕâÖÖÎÊÌâ
7Â¥2015-04-22 17:20:09
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

¸Âàààà

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
7Â¥: Originally posted by dingd at 2015-04-22 17:20:09
ÄǸö°æ±¾¾Í±ðÊÔÁË£¬ÎÞ·¨ÔËÐмÆËãÕâÖÖÎÊÌâ

8Â¥2015-04-22 18:03:48
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

ÎÏÅ£³æ

Òø³æ (ÕýʽдÊÖ)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
7Â¥: Originally posted by dingd at 2015-04-22 17:20:09
ÄǸö°æ±¾¾Í±ðÊÔÁË£¬ÎÞ·¨ÔËÐмÆËãÕâÖÖÎÊÌâ

Ϊʲô
¶à˼¿¼ÇڼǼàżÓÓÍ
9Â¥2016-03-05 10:56:19
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû

1296691778

гæ (³õÈëÎÄ̳)

ÒýÓûØÌû:
6Â¥: Originally posted by ¸Âàààà at 2015-04-22 16:49:55
ÇëÎÊÄܸøÎÒ·¢Ò»ÏÂÈí¼þô£¬²»Ê¤¸Ð¼¤(*@¦Ï@*) ÍÛ¡«...

https://pan.baidu.com/s/1kUE2wOf
²»Ð»
10Â¥2017-12-19 15:55:35
ÒÑÔÄ   »Ø¸´´ËÂ¥   ¹Ø×¢TA ¸øTA·¢ÏûÏ¢ ËÍTAºì»¨ TAµÄ»ØÌû
Ïà¹Ø°æ¿éÌø×ª ÎÒÒª¶©ÔÄÂ¥Ö÷ ¸Âàààà µÄÖ÷Ìâ¸üÐÂ
×î¾ßÈËÆøÈÈÌûÍÆ¼ö [²é¿´È«²¿] ×÷Õß »Ø/¿´ ×îºó·¢±í
[¿¼ÑÐ] 081700ѧ˶£¬323·Ö£¬Ò»Ö¾Ô¸Öйúº£Ñó´óѧÇóµ÷¼ÁѧУ +19 ÅûÐÇºÓ 2026-04-04 19/950 2026-04-07 15:00 by Éϰ¶¿ì¿ì
[¿¼ÑÐ] Çóµ÷¼Á Ò»Ö¾Ô¸Î÷ÄϽ»Í¨´óѧ085701»·¾³¹¤³Ì 282·Ö +13 ¶à¶à°®³Ôºº±¤ 2026-04-04 14/700 2026-04-07 11:22 by Ê«Óë×ÔÓÉ
[¿¼ÑÐ] Èí¹¤Ñ§Ë¶299Çóµ÷¼Á +6 useryy 2026-04-07 6/300 2026-04-07 09:50 by vgtyfty
[¿¼ÑÐ] 338Çóµ÷¼Á +4 wxygxsaaaaa 2026-04-06 4/200 2026-04-06 17:14 by ÉÐË®¸óÖ÷
[¿¼ÑÐ] ¿¼Ñе÷¼Á +5 ÃÀÀöµÄyouth_ 2026-04-04 6/300 2026-04-06 06:57 by houyaoxu
[¿¼ÑÐ] 294Çóµ÷¼Á +4 Grey_Ey 2026-04-01 5/250 2026-04-05 23:05 by Grey_Ey
[¿¼ÑÐ] 301Çóµ÷¼Á +3 XYPLR 2026-04-05 4/200 2026-04-05 19:07 by XYPLR
[¿¼ÑÐ] Ò»Ö¾Ô¸Çà¿Æ085500£¬³õÊÔ295·Ö£¬¹«¹²¿Î213·Ö +3 Óöµ½µÄÈËÔ¸Íû¶¼Ä 2026-04-05 3/150 2026-04-05 18:45 by À¶ÔÆË¼Óê
[¿¼ÑÐ] 359Çóµ÷¼Á +7 hhhhaaaa$ 2026-04-04 7/350 2026-04-04 18:49 by imissbao
[¿¼ÑÐ] 336Çóµ÷¼Á +8 kiyy 2026-04-01 8/400 2026-04-03 19:41 by lijunpoly
[¿¼ÑÐ] ¿¼Ñе÷¼Á +3 Draa 2026-04-03 3/150 2026-04-03 17:37 by hgwz7468
[¿¼ÑÐ] ¿¼Ñе÷¼Á +8 ²»°®ºÈÒûÁÏ 2026-04-03 8/400 2026-04-03 16:40 by Mistake-J
[¿¼ÑÐ] Çó²ÄÁϵ÷¼Á Ò»Ö¾Ô¸Äϲý´óѧ 328·Ö +5 yyy..... 2026-04-03 5/250 2026-04-03 13:46 by °ÙÁéͯ888
[¿¼ÑÐ] 274Çóµ÷¼Á +10 Ѧ¶¨Ú̵Ļ¢¡£ 2026-04-01 10/500 2026-04-03 10:13 by tianyyysss
[¿¼ÑÐ] һ־Ըɽ¶«´óѧ£¬085600£¬344 +7 κ×Óper 2026-04-02 8/400 2026-04-02 21:12 by °ÙÁéͯ888
[¿¼ÑÐ] Çóµ÷¼Á +7 Aniyaio 2026-04-02 7/350 2026-04-02 16:42 by zzsw+
[¿¼ÑÐ] Ò»Ö¾Ô¸9³õÊÔ366 ±¾Ë«·ÇÇóµ÷¼Á +4 ÔËÆøÀ´µÃÈôÓÐËÆÎ 2026-04-02 4/200 2026-04-02 09:56 by guanxin1001
[¿¼ÑÐ] ²ÄÁϵ÷¼Á +11 Ò»ÑùYWY 2026-03-31 11/550 2026-04-01 22:25 by zhouyuwinner
[˶²©¼ÒÔ°] ¿¼Ñе÷¼Á +5 ÂæÍÕÄÐÈË 2026-04-01 5/250 2026-04-01 14:28 by syjjj0321
[¿¼ÑÐ] ¸´ÊÔµ÷¼Á +7 Ë«ÂíβƦÀϰå2 2026-03-31 7/350 2026-03-31 19:49 by Dyhoer
ÐÅÏ¢Ìáʾ
ÇëÌî´¦ÀíÒâ¼û