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Ranking of results according to the correlation indexes£º

Index       Excellent     Good          Fair         Poor
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
R             1.00-0.90    0.89-0.80   0.79-0.50   <0.50
Slope       1.00-0.90    0.89-0.80   0.79-0.50   <0.50
Intercept  0.00-0.10    0.11-0.20   0.20-0.50   >0.50


[ Last edited by alwens on 2008-1-17 at 16:30 ]
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Validation of the QSAR Models
QSAR model validation is an essential task in developing a statistically valid
and predictive model, because the real utility of a QSAR model is in its ability
to predict accurately the modeled property for new compounds. The following
approaches have been used for the validation of QSAR Eqs. 1¨C20:
• Fraction of the variance: The fraction of the variance of an MRA model is
expressed by r2. It is believed that the closer the value of r2 to unity, the
better the QSAR model. The values of r2 for these QSAR models are from
0.787 to 0.993, which suggests that these QSARmodels explain 78.7¨C99.3%
of the variance of the data. According to the literature, the predictive
QSAR model must have r2 > 0.6 [73, 74].
• Cross-validation test: The values of q2 for these QSAR models are from
0.549 to 0.972. The high values of q2 validate the QSAR models. From the
literature, it must be greater than 0.50 [73, 74].
• Standard deviation (s): s is the standard deviation about the regression
line. The smaller the value of s the better the QSAR model. The values of
s for these QSAR models are from 0.065 to 0.406.
• Quality factor or quality ratio (Q): The high values of Q (2.259¨C14.646)
for these QSAR models suggest that the high predictive power for these
models as well as no over-fitting.
• Fischer statistics (F): Fischer statistics (F) is the ratio between explained
and unexplained variance for a given number of degree of freedom. The
larger the F value the greater the probability that the QSAR equation is significant.
The F values obtained for these QSAR models are from 17.622 to
283.714, which are statistically significant at the 95% level.
• All the QSAR models (except Eqs. 7 and 9) also fulfill the thumb rule condition
that (number of data points)/(number of descriptors) ¡Ý 4.
2Â¥2008-02-01 22:00:59
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lavinia

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