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Here, We analyze the performance of the one-iteration Delphi process qualitatively. Fig. 10 is the final results with and without the Delphi process. We can see that, the results are more dispersive without the Delphi process, reflecting with more uncertainties in the decision process. Without the Delphi process, it is hard to rank A1 and A3, which are very close to each other. While after the one-iteration Delphi process, the DMers are more convinced that A1 is better than A3. There are all fifteen matrices (3 DMers ¡Á 5 matrices each one) both before and after the Delphi process. So, we compare the CIs, which represent the consistency of judgment matrices, between the two stages. We can see from Fig. 11 that, after the one-iteration Delphi process, 13/15 CIs are diminished. So, we guess that the Delphi process can enhance the consistency of DMer¡¯s subjective judgments. Çë¸ßÊÖ°ïÎÒÈóɫһÏ¡£ Ö÷ÒªÊÇ˵£¬Ã»ÓÐone-iteration Delphi process£¬µÃµ½µÄ½á¹û¸ü¼Ó²»È·¶¨ £»ÓÐone-iteration Delphi process £¬½á¹û¸üÎȶ¨£¬²¢ÇÒÒ»ÖÂÐÔÓÐËùÌá¸ß¡£ |
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Luckyman2012
ľ³æ (ÖªÃû×÷¼Ò)
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È˹¤ÖÇÄÜ: ½ð±Ò+15, ·ÒëEPI+1, ¡ï¡ï¡ïºÜÓаïÖú 2012-04-06 18:52:55
È˹¤ÖÇÄÜ: ½ð±Ò+15, ·ÒëEPI+1, ¡ï¡ï¡ïºÜÓаïÖú 2012-04-06 18:52:55
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Here, we analyze the performance of the one-iteration Delphi process qualitatively. Fig. 10 shows the final results with and without the Delphi process. It could be found that the results are more dispersive when without the Delphi process, reflecting more uncertainties in the decision process. Without the Delphi process, it is hard to rank between A1 and A3, which are very close to each other. While after the one-iteration Delphi process, the DMers are more convinced that A1 is better than A3. There are fifteen matrices together (3 DMers ¡Á 5 matrices each one) both before and after the Delphi process. So we compare the CIs, which represent the consistency of judgment matrices between the two stages. It could be found from Fig. 11 that, after the one-iteration Delphi process, 13/15 CIs are diminished. So, we guess that the Delphi process can enhance the consistency of DMer¡¯s subjective judgments. ÔÀ´·ÒëµÃÒѾºÜ²»´íÁË¡£ ÎÒÐÞ¸ÄÁ˼¸¸ö¸ö±ðµÄµØ·½¡£ÒòΪרҵ²»¶®£¬Î´±Ø×¼È·£¬½ö¹©²Î¿¼£¡ |

2Â¥2012-04-05 22:59:03
Justain
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È˹¤ÖÇÄÜ: ½ð±Ò+5, ¡ï¡ï¡ïºÜÓаïÖú 2012-04-06 18:53:03
È˹¤ÖÇÄÜ: ½ð±Ò+5, ¡ï¡ï¡ïºÜÓаïÖú 2012-04-06 18:53:03
|
Here, we will analyze qualitatively the performance of the one-iteration Delphi process. Fig. 10 shows the final results with and without the Delphi process. It could be found that the results are more dispersive when without the Delphi process, reflecting more uncertainties in the decision process. Without the Delphi process, it is hard to rank between those similar A1 and A3; while with the one-iteration Delphi process, the DMers are more convinced that A1 is better than A3. There are fifteen matrices together (3 DMers ¡Á 5 matrices each) both before and after the Delphi process. So when we compare the CIs, which represent the consistency of judgment matrices between the two stages, it could be found from Fig. 11 that 13/15 CIs are diminished after the one-iteration Delphi process. Therefore, we guess that the Delphi process can enhance the consistency of DMer¡¯s subjective judgments. ÔÎĸö±ðµØ·½ÓÐÓï·¨´íÎó¡£ |
3Â¥2012-04-06 13:16:16









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