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sun_y_q银虫 (正式写手)
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[求助]
博士学位论文摘要校对
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可靠性增长和可靠性预测理论已成为可靠性工程中备受关注的热门研究方向。目前已涉及统计理论、信息论、故障物理、系统工程、机械工程、计算机科学与技术等诸多学科，其应用前景十分广阔。在新产品研制阶段实现可靠性保证和利用当前的数据信息对未来时刻的可靠性做出科学的预测，是诸多工业领域迫切需求的研究命题。本论文将预测理论融入可靠性增长技术，以重大装备可靠性研究为切入点，在深入研究随机过程理论、信息融合技术、小子样统计理论的基础上，探讨了系统可靠性增长预测理论与方法研究的新命题。继而又结合工程背景对风力发电机组在试运行阶段的可靠性增长预测、系统可靠性综合及预测、运行过程中的相关预测技术等问题作了深入的应用研究。其研究成果不仅为研究风电机组可靠性开辟了一条新路，而且对其它重大装备可靠性研究也具有示范作用。 The reliability growth theory and reliability prediction theory have been become hot research directions that receive much concern in reliability engineering, involving statistical theory, information theory, failure physics, system engineering, mechanical engineering, computer science and technology and other subjects at present, and have a broad application prospect. Furthermore, it's an urgent research task to make scientific prediction of the product reliability during the research and development period and the future product reliability using the current information. Therefore, a new proposition of system reliability growth prediction theory and method study were proposed based on random process theory, information fusion technology, and small sample statistical theory, through integrating prediction theory into reliability growth technology, and taking the study of major equipment reliability as a breakthrough point. Then, reliability growth prediction technology during the trial operation phase, system reliability synthesis and prediction method, and related prediction technology in the operation period for wind turbine were further discussed combined with the engineering background. The achievements not only open up new methods to study wind turbine reliability, but also become demonstration for other major equipment reliability study. |
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