| 查看: 2317 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
289求调剂
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿 南京航空航天大学大学 ，080500材料科学与工程学硕
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿西安交通大学 学硕 354求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
317求调剂
已经有11人回复
-
287求调剂
已经有6人回复
-
一志愿南昌大学，327分，材料与化工085600
已经有7人回复
-
材料080500调剂求收留
已经有8人回复
-
353求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
北科281学硕材料求调剂
已经有3人回复
-
A区线材料学调剂
已经有3人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
2026年国基求好运！
+5/270
-
化学化工学院 招收化工、化学、材料等相关方向研究生（学硕、专硕都有调剂名额）
+1/85
-
海南大学化工院生物质定向转化课题组招收博士/硕士，2026年9月入学
+1/83
-
愿遇见你，遇见不止擦肩而过的缘分
+1/74
-
【代人发帖勿站内信】【成都征男友】89年未婚博士漂亮女孩
+1/69
-
招收2026年材料与化工专硕调剂，全国重点实验室，过国家线即可调剂，名额充足
+2/56
-
青岛高校 研究生招生
+1/49
-
招收荧光探针/有机合成/生物学 博士后--薪金: 30万-50万
+1/35
-
1
+1/32
-
临沂大学数学与统计学院招2026研究生
+1/19
-
浙江中医药大学副校长团队招聘药学/生物信息学等方向高校教师7名，报名通道已开启
+1/18
-
招聘科研助理——储能方向（储能、流体传热、CFD模拟）
+1/18
-
【深圳理工大学】院士工作站招聘博士后-电催化和有机电化学
+1/16
-
南昌航空大学代威力教授招收光催化和光热催化研究方向博士生
+1/9
-
招收调剂生 国家重点实验室（广西某师范大学、B区）
+1/7
-
【第三轮招生】澳科大诚招2026秋全奖博士研究生（纳米医学/生物材料，3月31号截止）
+1/4
-
军科某研究院接收调剂研究生
+1/2
-
南京林业大学木质纤维功能材料国际联合创新中心招收2026级博士生（申请-考核制）
+2/2
-
125603工业工程与管理调剂
+1/1
-
哈尔滨工业大学招收2026年海洋科学硕士研究生
+1/1
33楼2011-03-31 12:03:09
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
