| 查看: 2334 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
085500求调剂材料
已经有9人回复
-
工科273调剂
已经有7人回复
-
求助调剂，跨调
已经有4人回复
-
生物学调剂
已经有9人回复
-
一志愿哈工大 085600 277 12材科基求调剂
已经有22人回复
-
268分085602化学工程调剂
已经有25人回复
-
机械专硕270求调剂，接受跨专业
已经有14人回复
-
275求调剂
已经有10人回复
-
电气工程专硕320求调剂
已经有4人回复
-
农业管理302分求调剂
已经有3人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
台州学院高端合金研究所招收材料工程、纳米科学与工程调剂生。
+1/187
-
“海洋生物”专业考研调剂有名额
+1/185
-
★★精品★★0860生物与医药还有调剂指标，最后的机会，捡漏上岸
+1/132
-
武汉纺织大学材料学院士兵计划调剂信息
+1/88
-
中国水产科学研究院黄海水产研究所张旭志课题组招聘 可穿戴传感器研究 科研助理
+1/82
-
五邑大学 化学工程与技术调剂 4月10号九点截止！！！！！
+1/42
-
北京理工大学（珠海）招收人工智能方向26级博士
+1/22
-
西安-纺织科学与工程（纺织化学与染整）、材料与化工
+1/20
-
药物化学、材料与化工专业还有大量名额，速报名！！！
+1/12
-
深圳理工大学李进课题组招收科研助理/访问学生
+1/11
-
中国科学院杭州医学所-博士后招聘
+1/9
-
活性环氧稀释剂
+1/6
-
深圳大学谢和平院士团队招收2026级博士生（AI for Science/计算化学方向，第二轮）
+1/5
-
长江师范学院 材料工程 招收调剂学生 还有大量名额
+1/5
-
大连工业大学“轻工技术与工程”“ 制浆造纸与生物质精炼”领域石海强教授课题组招收
+1/4
-
江西水利电力大学土木水利第二轮调剂系统已开
+1/4
-
吉林工程技术师范学院 交叉学科研究院（08/07） 招收调剂
+1/3
-
青岛大学硕士调剂（物理/材料，计算模拟方向，欢迎联系）
+1/3
-
-
+1/2
-
线上复试：河南理工大学 化工学院 接收调剂硕士研究生
+1/2
23楼2011-03-30 15:40:03
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
