| 查看: 2379 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
化学专业申博
已经有4人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
评审有感
已经有27人回复
-
论文撤稿了
已经有7人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有4人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有3人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有5人回复
-
售SCI一区T0P文章，我:8.O.5.5.1.O.5.4,科目齐全,可+急
已经有4人回复
-
河北省自然科学基金
已经有9人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
广西锰资源高值化利用重点实验室 2026年博士人才招聘通告
+1/970
-
不想生娃了，寻找一位已有孩子的成熟男士，相伴到老！
+2/54
-
湖南师范大学(211)—招收材料专业“申请-考核”制博士（有光学经验者优先）
+1/35
-
安徽大学俞洋洋课题组招收化学方向博士生1人
+1/30
-
招收2026年9月入学博士生及研究助理
+1/28
-
【截止2026年5月31日】石家庄铁道大学智能交通课题组诚招理工科背景博士
+1/27
-
【博士招生】武汉科技大学招收材料、化工、环境、冶金类2026年“申请-考核”制博士生
+1/17
-
11
+1/16
-
中国农业大学资源与环境学院 - 招聘杰出人才、青年研究员、优秀人才和博士后
+1/13
-
合成
+1/8
-
能源电催化领域博士后招聘（高薪40万+）
+1/8
-
杭州师范大学博士后招聘
+1/6
-
张兆威教授课题组长期招聘科研助理
+1/6
-
北航国新院季梦奇副教授招聘博士(智能感知、立体视觉等)
+1/4
-
重庆新桥医院临床研究助理招聘
+1/4
-
2026年中国石油大学（北京）理学院招博士1名-地质、分子模拟（急急急到5月25日）
+1/4
-
博士后招聘（高薪40万+）
+1/3
-
深圳理工大学核酸药物递送与干细胞工程课题组科研助理教授和博士后招聘启事
+1/3
-
博士去绵阳华丰科技怎么样，待遇如何，这个企业靠谱吗？
+3/1
-
北航杭州国际校区招聘3D 打印，陶瓷，力学等方向博士后
+1/1
19楼2011-03-30 14:58:04
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
