| 查看: 2320 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
290求调剂
已经有7人回复
-
一志愿中南化学（0703）总分337求调剂
已经有8人回复
-
北科281学硕材料求调剂
已经有5人回复
-
求调剂一志愿南京航空航天大学289分
已经有3人回复
-
A区线材料学调剂
已经有5人回复
-
材料学硕297已过四六级求调剂推荐
已经有11人回复
-
316求调剂
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿西南交通 专硕 材料355 本科双非 求调剂
已经有5人回复
-
一志愿武汉理工材料工程专硕调剂
已经有8人回复
-
329求调剂
已经有8人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
本子终于提交了。不用再看了，一切闲下来慢慢等。希望一切顺利！
+1/643
-
山东征女友，坐标济南
+1/163
-
济南大学林秀娟教授招收材料类博士生
+1/85
-
浙江农林大学招收调剂
+1/79
-
愿遇见你，遇见不止擦肩而过的缘分
+1/74
-
散金币，求基金中标！！
+1/62
-
加拿大阿尔伯塔大学招收电磁、无线通信、机器学习方向全奖硕士/博士/博士后/访问学者
+1/53
-
南京理工大学优青团队招聘副教授、博士后、博士、硕士生（化学、催化方向）
+1/31
-
南昌一本市政工程接受调剂
+1/14
-
【2026博士招生/博后招聘】北京航空航天大学潘彪课题组——AI芯片设计方向
+1/11
-
青岛科技大学化工学院院士团队2026年拟招收全日制博士研究生1名
+1/9
-
中国民航飞行学院先进连接团队招收航空宇航、航空机械专业硕士研究生（学硕专硕均可）
+1/9
-
26年申博自荐-计算机视觉
+1/5
-
南京林业大学化学工程学院柏惺峰课题组招收2026年申请考核制博士2名
+1/5
-
生物技术工程+326，求调剂！
+1/5
-
温州医科大学招收特种医学博士研究生1名（专业不限，有实验基础）
+1/3
-
武汉纺织大学纺织纤维及制品教育部重点实验室招收博士研究生
+1/3
-
武汉纺织大学杰青团队招研究生（材料，化学，高分子，化工）
+1/2
-
新加坡国立大学药学系化学生物学课题组招PhD
+1/1
-
诚招柔性天线、柔性通信、柔性电路方向博士生
+1/1
15楼2011-03-30 12:25:34
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
