| 查看: 2327 | 回复: 32 | |||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | |||
[交流]
【Disccusion】If Gadhafi Loses Libya, The Future Is Unclear
|
|||
|
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134949998/if-gadhafi-loses-libya-the-future-is-unclear March 29, 2011（NPR） Thanks to the bombing campaign now being led by NATO, the Libyan opposition has taken back the territory it had lost to forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in recent weeks. While the rebels are still a long way from capturing Tripoli, the Libyan capital — or taking control of the entire country — many Western observers believe that Gadhafi's eventual defeat is the most likely outcome. That still leaves open the question of how the rebels, who are an inchoate group, might govern if they succeed in taking power. It's also not clear what role the international community might play in the aftermath. "The U.S. has made up a number of contingency plans, but none really looking ahead at how we can keep the country from falling apart," says Dirk Vandewalle, a Libya expert at Dartmouth College A Country Split In Two? It's possible that the situation in Libya will become frozen, with rebels controlling the east and Gadhafi remaining in power in the west. Such a scenario is "definitely conceivable," because the U.S., European and other outside military forces don't intend to remain engaged in the area forever, says Richard Downie, deputy director and fellow in the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies "That's something really serious to think about," says Micah Zenko, a fellow for conflict prevention at the Council on Foreign Relations who has been critical of the military intervention. "If it's like the end of most civil wars, it won't be Gadhafi falling. Most civil wars end with negotiations, with some zone under rebel control." Libya could be divided into two viable states. There's enough oil in both halves of the country, and small enough populations, to support separate economies. But a divided Libya would be predicated on Gadhafi's negotiating an end to the fighting. That strikes many outside observers as unlikely. Although there have been rumors of negotiations involving the Gadhafi regime, Gadhafi and his sons have shown no outward interest in surrendering power, or even a portion of the country. And the rebels are unlikely to be satisfied with Gadhafi remaining entrenched. Rebels also are unlikely to trust Gadhafi, says William Zartman, the former head of African studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "I just don't see any effective negotiation with Gadhafi," Zartman says. "He is just so imbued with the sense of himself as the incarnation of the nation." [ Last edited by propanediol on 2011-3-30 at 12:27 ] |
回复此楼» 猜你喜欢
085500求调剂材料
已经有9人回复
-
工科273调剂
已经有7人回复
-
求助调剂，跨调
已经有4人回复
-
生物学调剂
已经有9人回复
-
一志愿哈工大 085600 277 12材科基求调剂
已经有22人回复
-
268分085602化学工程调剂
已经有25人回复
-
机械专硕270求调剂，接受跨专业
已经有14人回复
-
275求调剂
已经有10人回复
-
电气工程专硕320求调剂
已经有4人回复
-
农业管理302分求调剂
已经有3人回复
» 抢金币啦！回帖就可以得到:
-
大连大学-六盘水师范学院联合培养研究生接收调剂
+2/276
-
延安大学化学与化工学院接收化学专业调剂生，11号下午复试（工科、理学均可调剂）
+5/145
-
2026考研招生
+1/90
-
双一流南京医科大学招计算机、生物信息等方向研究生调剂
+1/89
-
长江大学化工学院2026年硕士研究生调剂公告（理学、工学均可）
+1/89
-
浙江农林大学竹子研究院招收林业工程专业学硕调剂
+1/89
-
上海交通大学化学化工学院膜分离-纳流控课题组诚聘博士后2-3名
+1/88
-
福建农林大学材料工程学院高分子材料课题组还有少量学硕/专硕招生名额
+1/72
-
广东石油化工学院，材料与化工、能源动力专硕，招收调剂生，线上面试
+2/68
-
接收调剂：组内氛围轻松活跃，欢迎加入
+1/42
-
济南大学 环境科学 环境工程 硕士招生 调剂 信息
+1/41
-
化学、环境工程，上车就走
+1/22
-
中科院理化所热声热机团队招聘电气工程专业(电机方向)博士后/特别研究助理
+1/11
-
河南农业大学理学院招收化学（学硕）和材料与化工（专硕）专业硕士调剂生2名
+1/10
-
与其发展宠物经济，不如改变年轻人的婚恋观
+1/9
-
齐齐哈尔大学李莉课题组诚招2026级考研调剂生（学硕和专硕）
+1/4
-
江西水利电力大学土木水利第二轮调剂系统已开
+1/4
-
生物基（菌物）材料课题组——调剂招生2026
+1/1
-
长江师范学院 材料工程 招收调剂学生
+1/1
-
招考研调剂生
+1/1
12楼2011-03-30 12:00:36
5楼2011-03-30 09:53:45
6楼2011-03-30 10:12:51
7楼2011-03-30 10:55:59
