| 查看: 1639 | 回复: 15 | ||||
| 【奖励】 本帖被评价14次，作者wyf112600增加金币 10.8 个 | ||||
| 当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖 | ||||
[资源]
Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity 已有1人参与
|
||||
|
The demand for accurate forecasting of the effects of global warming on biodiversity is growing, but current methods for forecasting have limitations. In this article, we compare and discuss the different uses of four forecasting methods: (1) models that consider species individually, (2) niche-theory models that group species by habitat (more specifically, by environmental conditions under which a species can persist or does persist), (3) general circulation models and coupled ocean–atmosphere–biosphere models, and (4) species–area curve models that consider all species or large aggregates of species. After outlining the different uses and limitations of these methods, we make eight primary suggestions for improving forecasts.We find that greater use of the fossil record and of modern genetic studies would improve forecasting methods.We note a Quaternary conundrum: While current empirical and theoretical ecological results suggest that many species could be at risk from global warming, during the recent ice ages surprisingly few species became extinct. The potential resolution of this conundrum gives insights into the requirements for more accurate and reliable forecasting.Our eight suggestions also point to constructive synergies in the solution to the different problems.[ Last edited by wyf112600 on 2011-10-18 at 14:43 ] |
回复此楼» 收录本帖的淘帖专辑推荐
 国外专业电子书 | 学无止境 |
» 猜你喜欢
无法从这份源码判断项目是否“获资助批准”
已经有11人回复
-
香港城市大学 数据科学系+能源与环境学院 李堂华 课题组诚招全奖博士/博士后/研究助理
已经有775人回复
-
地质学论文润色/翻译怎么收费?
已经有138人回复
-
非面上的重大研究计划的培育项目，和面上一块放榜吗？
已经有19人回复
» 本主题相关价值贴推荐，对您同样有帮助:
- 请问基于P1/P3和P2/P3两种复合物 翻译为based on the blends of P1–P2 and P3 ？
已经有6人回复
- [2011-10-30]6th International Workshop on Marine Environmental Change of the Sou
已经有124人回复
- 求Effect of Peierls’ stress on the electromagnetic radiation during yielding of
已经有2人回复
- Want to Fight Global Warming? Don't Just Focus on CO2应如何翻译比较合适呢
已经有3人回复
- 【Discussion】How much do you spend on the decoration of your new house?
已经有12人回复
- 【分享】Elsevier的新期刊：The Journal of Computational Science
已经有7人回复
12楼2012-11-23 14:21:09
3楼2011-10-24 13:37:25
简单回复
oldwagon4楼
2011-11-04 11:39
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
ziqiang6楼
2011-12-29 16:34
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
dingll7楼
2012-03-31 10:18
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
2012-04-20 12:57
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
unangu9楼
2012-07-27 13:51
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
ivy223110楼
2012-10-26 11:37
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
c7d8j945611楼
2012-11-15 18:46
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
xyzlrm113楼
2012-11-28 23:07
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
2012-12-02 08:58
回复
五星好评 顶一下，感谢分享！
30