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wyf112600

铁杆木虫 (著名写手)


[资源] Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity 已有1人参与

The demand for accurate forecasting of the effects of global warming on biodiversity is growing, but current methods for forecasting have limitations.
In this article, we compare and discuss the different uses of four forecasting methods: (1) models that consider species individually, (2) niche-theory
models that group species by habitat (more specifically, by environmental conditions under which a species can persist or does persist), (3) general
circulation models and coupled ocean–atmosphere–biosphere models, and (4) species–area curve models that consider all species or large aggregates
of species. After outlining the different uses and limitations of these methods, we make eight primary suggestions for improving forecasts.We find that
greater use of the fossil record and of modern genetic studies would improve forecasting methods.We note a Quaternary conundrum: While current
empirical and theoretical ecological results suggest that many species could be at risk from global warming, during the recent ice ages surprisingly few
species became extinct. The potential resolution of this conundrum gives insights into the requirements for more accurate and reliable forecasting.Our
eight suggestions also point to constructive synergies in the solution to the different problems.[ Last edited by wyf112600 on 2011-10-18 at 14:43 ]
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wanggisrs

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看看,谢谢了
2楼2011-10-20 01:45:18
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451496374

新虫 (初入文坛)


★★★★★ 五星级,优秀推荐

全球变暖这个话题 热 怎么解决啊  唉
3楼2011-10-24 13:37:25
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星星0

木虫 (正式写手)


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很好,谢谢分享
5楼2011-12-29 12:13:28
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knight123

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★★★ 三星级,支持鼓励

全球变暖这个话题
12楼2012-11-23 14:21:09
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简单回复
oldwagon4楼
2011-11-04 11:39   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
ziqiang6楼
2011-12-29 16:34   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
dingll7楼
2012-03-31 10:18   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
2012-04-20 12:57   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
unangu9楼
2012-07-27 13:51   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
ivy223110楼
2012-10-26 11:37   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
c7d8j945611楼
2012-11-15 18:46   回复  
五星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
xyzlrm113楼
2012-11-28 23:07   回复  
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2012-12-02 08:58   回复  
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2013-12-13 21:31   回复  
三星好评  顶一下,感谢分享!
wanggj65216楼
2015-03-03 22:33   回复  
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