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lijing5759

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2004        65.01
2005        74.5
2006        74.72
2007        77.45
2008        77.27
2009        81.17
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ÓàÔó³É(½ð±Ò+2):ÐÁ¿àÁË£¬Ð»Ð»²ÎÓëÓ¦Öú£¡ 2010-09-04 22:26:43

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2Â¥2010-09-03 22:14:33
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Сľ³æ: ½ð±Ò+0.5, ¸ø¸öºì°ü£¬Ð»Ð»»ØÌû
clear
%ԭʼÊý¾ÝÊäÈ룻
x0=[65.01;74.5;74.72;77.45;77.27;81.17];
n=length(x0);
%ÓÉÊýÁÐx0Éú³ÉÊýÁÐx1;
s=0;
for i=1:n   
s=s+x0(i);  
x1(i)=s;
end
%ÓÉÊýÁÐx1Éú³É¾ØÕóCºÍA£»
  for i=1 : (n-1);  
A(i)=-(x1(i)+x1(i+1))/2;  
end  
A=[A' ones(n-1,1)];  
for i=1 : (n-1);  
C(i)=x0(i+1);  
end  
C=C';
beta=inv(A'*A)*A'*C;
%¼ÆËã³öaºÍu;
a=beta(1);
u=beta(2);
%Çó³öÊýÁÐx1µÄÔ¤²âÖµÊýÁÐx2;
m=input('ÇëÊäÈëÔ¤²âµÄÊýÄ¿:')+length(x0);
for k=0 : (m-1)
x2(k+1)=(x0(1)-u/a)*exp(-a*k)+u/a;
end
%Çó³öԭʼÊýÁÐx0µÄÔ¤²âÖµÊýÁÐx3;
x3(1)=x0(1);
for k=1 : (m-1)  
x3(k+1)=(1-exp(a))*(x0(1)-u/a)*exp(-a*k);
end
x3
t0=1:length(x0);
t3=1:m;
plot(t0,x0,'*',t3,x3)



ÇëÊäÈëÔ¤²âµÄÊýÄ¿:6

x3 =

  1 ÖÁ 7 ÁÐ

   65.0100   73.8564   75.4048   76.9856   78.5995   80.2473   81.9296

  8 ÖÁ 12 ÁÐ

   83.6472   85.4008   87.1911   89.0190   90.8852
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