应《网络安全法》要求，自2017年10月1日起，未进行实名认证将不得使用互联网跟帖服务。为保障您的帐号能够正常使用，请尽快对帐号进行手机号验证，感谢您的理解与支持！

24小时热门版块排行榜    

小木虫论坛-学术科研互动平台 » 专业学科区 » 地学 » 其它 » 【讨论】【有奖活动】国内外油藏模拟现状讨论
53/1返回列表
查看: 3827  |  回复: 48
只看楼主 @他人 存档 新回复提醒 (忽略) 收藏    在APP中查看
当前主题已经存档。
当前只显示满足指定条件的回帖，点击这里查看本话题的所有回帖

xinmeng8803

荣誉版主 (著名写手)

小木虫博士

[交流] 【讨论】【有奖活动】国内外油藏模拟现状讨论

为活跃地学版学术氛围，加强学科内的联系与沟通，使更多的地学的朋友了解相关学科的国内外研究进展，特此举办系列讨论活动
活动方式：跟帖
讨论内容：限制在油藏模拟，包括国内外，希望能推荐此方面的牛人和实验室
奖励参与有奖，按照跟帖内容奖励5-10金币，禁止恶意灌水

[ Last edited by xinmeng8803 on 2009-12-8 at 17:21 ]
回复此楼

» 猜你喜欢
1楼 2009-11-12 20:08:26
已阅   回复此楼   关注TA 给TA发消息 送TA红花 TA的回帖

gjgx1

铁杆木虫 (职业作家)

***************顶贴员
★ ★ ★ ★
小木虫(金币+0.5):给个红包，谢谢回帖交流
xinmeng8803(金币+3,VIP+0):感谢你的积极参与！ 12-9 21:34
我也来凑个热闹！
我研究能源安全，石油问题是关键。而我一贯认为，当前的数据——社科研究的基础，存在检验的必要。我自己需要知道一些相关的自然科学知识，才能做出更加正确的选择。研究基础才更加坚实！
贴点资料！

FIELD-BY-FIELD ANALYSIS OF OIL PRODUCTION
Is decline accelerating?
HIGHLIGHTS  The future rate of decline in output from producing oilfields as they mature is a
critical determinant of the amount of new capacity and investment that will be
needed globally to meet projected demand. A detailed field-by-field analysis of
historical production trends reveals that the size of reserves and physiographic
situation (onshore/offshore) are the main factors in explaining the shape of an
oilfield’s production profile. The larger the reserves, the lower the peak relative
to reserves and the slower the decline once a field has come off plateau. Rates
are also lower for onshore than offshore (especially deepwater) fields.   Based on data for 580 of the world’s largest fields that have passed their
production peak, the observed decline rate — averaged across all fields and
weighted by their production over their whole lives — is 5.1%. Decline rates are
lowest for the biggest fields: they average 3.4% for super-giant fields, 6.5% for
giant fields and 10.4% for large fields. The average rate of observed post-plateau
decline, based on our data sub-set of 479 fields, is 5.8%.   Observed decline rates vary markedly by region. Post-peak and post-plateau rates
are lowest in the Middle East and highest in the North Sea. This reflects, to a large
extent, differences in the average size of fields, which in turn is related to the
extent to which overall reserves are depleted and their physiographic location. In
general, observed decline rates are also higher the younger the field, mainly because
these fields tend to be smaller and are more often found offshore. Investment and
production policies also affect decline rates, especially in OPEC countries.   The average size of the fields analysed is significantly larger than that of all the
fields in the world, as our database contains all the super-giant fields and most of
the giant fields. The decline rates for the fields not included in our dataset are,
on average, likely to be at least as high as for the large fields in our database.
On this basis, we estimate that the average production-weighted observed
decline rate worldwide is 6.7% for post-peak fields.     The average annual natural, or underlying, decline rate for the world as a whole
— stripping out the effects of ongoing and periodic investment — is estimated a
9% for post-peak fields. In other words, the decline in production from existing
fields would have been around one-third  faster had there been no capital
spending on those fields once they had passed their peak.   Our Reference Scenario projections imply a one percentage-point increase in the
global average natural decline rate to over 10% per year by 2030 as all regions
experience a drop in average field size and most see a shift in production to
offshore fields. This means that total upstream investment in some countries will
need to rise, in some cases significantly, just to offset decline.
赞一下(11人) 回复此楼
我顶故我在！顶帖就是合理，合理就是顶帖！
24楼2009-12-09 18:32:36
已阅   回复此楼   关注TA 给TA发消息 送TA红花 TA的回帖
查看全部 49 个回答

xinmeng8803

荣誉版主 (著名写手)

小木虫博士
欢迎积极参与，本活动目的也是更具有针对性的讨论和交流，最好能把常用或最近，或者很有潜力的软件也介绍一下。
赞一下 回复此楼
2楼2009-11-13 09:57:41
已阅   回复此楼   关注TA 给TA发消息 送TA红花 TA的回帖

sandy03

荣誉版主 (著名写手)

优秀版主优秀版主
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
小木虫(金币+0.5):给个红包，谢谢回帖交流
xinmeng8803(金币+10,VIP+0):感谢积极参与！希望继续关注次讨论，希望提供更多交流！ 11-16 11:42
xinmeng8803(金币+0,VIP+0):也算是沙发，呵呵全奖了！ 11-16 11:42
SUPRI-B是Stanford University 石油工程系最大的研究组。数值模拟是组里的大方向，涵盖upscaling，fracture modeling，history matching，optimization，pipeflow simulation，multi-scale simulation，well modeling，solver development等等。SUPRI-B开发的油藏模拟器GPRS运算性能比商用的Eclipse快的多，这是组里研究的主要平台，极大的加速了研究的开展。SUPRI-B在油藏数值模拟领域业界领先。现在各大石油公司里搞模拟器开发的绝对主力大都是从这个研究组出来的。现在油藏数值模拟是油藏开发最重要的手段之一。所有巨型国际石油公司都是这个组的合作伙伴
Khalid Aziz，美国工程院院士，油藏数值模拟的奠基人，系里的巨牛。早年的《油藏数值模拟》是这一领域的奠基之作。他现在“快”退休了，经常到世界各地开会、巡讲。不招Ph.D.学生了。
赞一下(22人) 回复此楼
所谓至明,不过至专而已
3楼2009-11-16 10:23:33
已阅   回复此楼   关注TA 给TA发消息 送TA红花 TA的回帖

sandy03

荣誉版主 (著名写手)

优秀版主优秀版主
★ ★
xinmeng8803(金币+2,VIP+0):期待着你的继续关注！ 11-16 11:43
Louis Durlofsky和Hamdi Tchelepi，两位都是从Chevron研发部门过来的，年富力强，是系里的中坚力量，有非常广的工业界人脉。Durlofsky的强项是upscaling和optimization，他还刚刚就任了系主任职位。
赞一下(10人) 回复此楼
所谓至明,不过至专而已
4楼2009-11-16 10:25:35
已阅   回复此楼   关注TA 给TA发消息 送TA红花 TA的回帖
查看全部 49 个回答
普通表情 龙 兔 虎 猫 高级回复 (可上传附件)
信息提示
关闭
请填处理意见
关闭