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4Â¥2007-11-14 22:51:35
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3Â¥2007-11-14 20:56:31
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beibei4891(½ð±Ò+1,VIP+0):лл 11·Ö´ú±íÐÄÒâ. ÁíÍâ9·Ö¸øÁËÔùË͸øÁËÁíÍâÒ»¸öÈË,ллÄãÃǵİïÖú.
CPI index reflects a certain period of life of residents in the purchase of consumer goods prices and service projects and trends in the extent of price changes over the relative few, the use of very wide, which includes China's CPI index of the number of information? This paper will explore the issue.
          This paper collected from 1951 to 2006 the annual CPI data, use simple descriptive statistics analyzed its mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis and normality, and other characteristics; then this paper describes an effort to establish suitable for CPI annual changes of the ARMA model, the pattern of changes in the CPI structural analysis model, from the true value, residual value and fit the timing plans that fit the general effect, further consideration of the abnormal value analysis; then the model amendment that an appropriate model.
5Â¥2007-11-15 09:09:34
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CPI index is the relative number which reflects the changes degree and tendency of the price of consumer goods and the service that residents purchase a certain time.The use of CPI is extremely widespread.How many information does CPI index of our country contain? This article will carry on the discussion to this question.
This article has collected CPI annual datas from 1951 to 2006, firstly used the simple descriptive statistics to analyze the characteristics of its mean values,the variance, the skewness,the kurtosis and the normality and so on.Then this article mainly devotes to establish a ARMA model which is suitable to describe the CPI annual changes rule, carry on the structural model analysis to the CPI change rule.From the true value, the fitted value and the residual sequential chart, we can see the fitting effect to be ordinary.Therefore further analysis is carried on to the related unusual value. Then amend the model and obtain an appropriate model.
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6Â¥2007-11-15 10:51:51
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