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[交流] 【Pure water】Chinese Companies May Lose Billions in Libya

Although the uprising in Libya is happening halfway around the world, Chinese companies and enterprises stand to lose billions of dollars if the situation worsens.

According to the Ministry of Commerce, over 36,000 Chinese nationals work for 75 Chinese companies in Libya, including 13 State-owned enterprises.

Just last year, some $1.8 billion US dollars worth of contracts were signed between Chinese firms and Libya. However, their status is now in jeopardy.

He Wenping, Director of African Studies at the Institute of West Asia and Africa Studies with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, says Libya had been considered as a safe place for investment.

"But before, countries like Libya, Egypt, Tunisia, all of them were regarded as very stable countries because those strongmen have been in power for decades long. So it has been ranked as very stable, political stable, social stable. So before, nobody had realized that even in those so-called stable countries there are actually high risks."

In a statement from the China Railway Construction Corporation, the state owned company says it has suspended its projects in Libya, worth a total of $4.2 billion US dollars.

Meanwhile, China National Petroleum Corporation, who's parent listed company PetroChina has been present in Libya since 2002, says some of its projects and operating sites have been attacked during the upheaval.

He Wenping says the situation in Libya may change the way Chinese enterprises enter foreign markets in the future.

"I think at least one lesson we can draw from this new round of turbulent in those countries that is in the future, for Chinese companies, even for other commercial activities, so before you move in, the risk analysis should be done very carefully. Not only the economic costs, risks, but also social political risks."

However, she does not expect Chinese companies to leave Libya for good, despite the current situation.

"They can do nothing, actually, frankly speaking. they can do nothing about situation like now in Libya. ... but I'm pretty sure no matter what kind of situation happening in Libya, and no matter who is in power, one thing is necessary, and that is economic development. ... so i think they will come back again, to negotiate, and to count the economic loses with whoever in power."

On top of the loss of business, the employment future of the nearly 36-thousand Chinese citizens who had been working in Libya also remains an open question.

For CRI, I'm Larry Chen.

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