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[交流] Sequential diagnosis with language models

Sequential diagnosis with language models

利用语言模型进行序贯诊断

▲ 作者:HARSHA NORI, MAYANK DASWANI, CHRISTOPHER KELLY, SCOTT LUNDBERG, MARCO TULIO RIBEIRO, MARC WILSON, XIAOXUAN LIU, VIKNESH SOUNDERAJAH, JONATHAN M. CARLSON, AND ERIC HORVITZ

▲链接:

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aeh7930

▲摘要:

研究者探索了前沿语言模型在序贯诊断中的能力。序贯诊断是一种捕捉临床推理迭代本质的诊断范式。

给定简短的临床表现,临床医生有选择地获取信息以达成诊断,从而可以评估诊断准确性和检查成本。他们开发了一个交互式基准和一个AI系统,该系统模拟一组医生,不断修正鉴别诊断并选择具有成本效益的检查。

使用该基准,该系统在《新英格兰医学杂志》临床病理讨论会病例上达到83.2%的准确率,在MIMIC-IV-ED急诊科入院病例上达到80.3%,优于全科医生(分别为36.1%和46.8%)。

研究者表示,尽管这些发现是在受控的基准环境中获得的,但其凸显了语言模型在支持更准确、更低成本诊断方面的前景。

▲ Abstract:

We explored the capabilities of frontier language models in sequential diagnosis, a diagnostic paradigm that captures the iterative nature of clinical reasoning. Given a brief clinical presentation, clinicians selectively acquired information to reach a diagnosis, enabling assessment of diagnostic accuracy and workup cost. We developed an interactive benchmark and an artificial intelligence (AI) system that simulates a panel of physicians, continually revising the differential diagnosis and selecting cost-effective tests. Using this benchmark, the system achieved 83.2% accuracy on New England Journal of Medicine clinicopathological conference cases and 80.3% on MIMIC-IV-ED emergency department admissions, outperforming generalist physicians (36.1 and 46.8%, respectively). Although these findings were obtained in a controlled benchmark setting, they highlight the promise of language models for supporting more accurate, lower-cost diagnoses.
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