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铁杆木虫 (职业作家)

[交流] 每周一听——那些年我们一起练过的听力(第185期) 已有13人参与

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?°It's not just gamblers using science.
In many cases, science has benefited    (1)       from people studying the house.?±
Mathematician Adam Kucharski.
He's the author of the new book The Perfect Bet:How Science and Math Are Taking the Luck Out of Gambling.
?°Back in the Renaissance, actually,   (2)      theory was developed to study these games.
I mean, can you imagine having bets where it's not actually clear what a fair game is??±
For example, in the 17th century the question came up, do you have the same    (3)       of throwing a six by rolling one dice four times or of throwing two sixes by rolling two dice 24 times?
?°That had been around awhile, those kinds of bets and those kinds of questions, and that was Fermat and Pascal who developed a lot of this theory.
And one of the crucial things was this concept of an    (4)       value:if you play a game repeatedly what do you expect to win on average?
And until you have that kind of theory in place it's very hard to actually compare two bets directly and work out which one is more    (5)      .?±
Pascal figured out that your chances of throwing one six in four rolls of a die was    (6)      more than 50 percent.
But your    (7)       of two sixes in 24 throws of two dice was slightly less than 50 percent.
?°And a lot of this theory from probability to    (8)       and actually more recently things like game theory and    (9)       theory originated with studying games of chance, so I think science actually has benefitted a lot from people's    (10)       about gambling.?±
My full interview with Adam Kucharski about his book The Perfect Bet is at our Web site as a Science Talk podcast.
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